Real estate lending chain is not only a development loan issue
Real estate lending chain is not only a development loan issue, include the top land bank loans, the following extended housing mortgage loans, money chain linking. Once one chain broken, it will form a very large risk. Experts believe that the Bank should strengthen the financial flows on the one hand, the timely adjustment of credit policy; on the other hand should strengthen loan concentration risk management, setting up a scientific management methods, the limit to prevent the loan risk in some areas, project, customer concentration. In the property market regulation measures, the future of Replica Watches real estate market trend became concerned about the HotSpot. Recently published report on the Bank of China’s 2010 current best China Banking concerns risk “survey, 72% of bankers chosen” real estate markets risks and risk awareness.
Most bankers said that although the Chinese real estate market prices fell sharply is unlikely, but sales decline will cause the industry boom indicator is depressed. In the long term, real estate credit risk continues to be non-controllable, but short-term risk must remain vigilant, especially real estate loans risk chain effects worthy of attention. Bankers on the real estate market risks of vigilance, the real estate credit in Bank business chain in occupies an important one. But property market regulation policy impact on the real estate credit? September 29, the new deal of the mortgage, compared to 17 April, many of the policies strictly. For banks, it is a “favorable”. Because the “combination of boxing,” the first buyers, regardless of the set-building area is 90 square meters, the first payment must be in more than 30%. Therefore, on mortgage loans, current mortgage policy makes mortgage risk not increased but reduced. The higher the proportion of first pay, the less risk of banks. In addition, most Bank canceled the first suite of loan lending rate; for the second set of home loans, first pay a proportion of not less than 50% of the loan interest rate is not lower than the benchmark interest rate 1.1 times, makes commercial bank loan pricing bargaining capacity. In accordance with the relevant data, personal mortgage loans in the banks of the entire loan, share, as of 2010 at the end of June is 12.8%, this is the highest in recent years, while the commercial value of the loan rates and bad loans but always maintaining the momentum of the “double down”.
Director, Centre for central China banking, real estate guotianyong represents the credit risk of the current best banking concern, not only because of the real estate lending business are policy implications, is that many developers and buyers with real estate mortgage loan from the Bank to do sections, if mortgaged property devaluation, bad loans risk will increase. There are expert believes that currently, financing constraints, financing costs and marketing factors, real estate developer financial leverage will face severe challenges. Although sufficient market liquidity, but due to the large number of developers, in addition to a developer, part of the small and medium-sized real estate developers and non-professional development enterprise capital chain prevailing fracture risk. Real estate credit risk by recessive autosomal dominant in may increase the Steering, the developer of repaying capacity begins to decline.
From a survey from the Bank, the Bank has 75% of the land bank loans are in the second half of 2009, after payment of the premium prices, developers have to cost more, the property market regulation brings uncertainty will enable commercial banks face greater future repayment risk reduction of pressure and the pledge. A bank executive staff reporters of a representative. He said: “we are very worried about the real estate loan risk chain stretch too tight, last may stretch break, so this industry risks we always maintain attention. In accordance with its terms, “this chain is not only a development loan issue, include the top land bank loans, the following extended housing mortgage loans, money chain linking. Once one chain broken, it will form a very large risk. Development loans risk is that developer sales return reduction, higher interest rates, loan list system management, centralized management, cash flow will increase the risk of fracture. Bank loans in the real estate industry’s high concentration ratio, plus the Bank lending is not prudent behavior and leads to the temptation to which contains financial risk gradually. House prices to rise gradually produce real estate bubble, often leads to bad loans rates rise.
In order to grasp the real estate market fluctuations on commercial real estate loan quality, the CBRC conducted this year asked the commercial real estate loan pressure testing, analysis of different pressure scenarios of commercial real estate loan quality. Test results showed that if house prices fell by 30% and interest rates rose 108 basis points, the real estate industry of non-performing loan ratios will rise 2.2%, net profit declined by 20%. Although the industry on Bank mortgage stress testing, but if prices once dropped by more than 30%, Bank risks very obvious. In addition, banks and real estate related downstream industry loans, and credit business in General is not collateral, but also for real estate, its risk and market volatility. Currently, under the influence of the real estate market regulation, commercial real estate loans have been significantly less. According to the data representation, 40% of the loan will expire at the end of this year, the developer has a certain financial pressure. In particular after the market control developers generally rising loan financing costs by 20%, the impact on developers profit considerably.
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Real estate lending chain is not only a development loan issue
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